Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.134822 3.676044 4.250865 4.903650 5.621241 6.383003 7.249726
2025-01-19 2.263918 2.989621 3.819191 4.823870 5.994073 7.301175 8.858558
2025-01-26 1.750855 2.585824 3.606200 4.911756 6.505356 8.356842 10.639712
2025-02-02 1.380902 2.273542 3.434850 4.994988 6.976574 9.354093 12.366175
2025-02-09 1.034031 1.916980 3.143942 4.874581 7.158101 9.980835 13.645635
2025-02-16 0.773914 1.624567 2.887748 4.754334 7.304889 10.542550 14.836501
2025-02-23 0.607026 1.435965 2.744783 4.759615 7.595695 11.275682 16.241147
2025-03-02 0.457215 1.238082 2.555887 4.672272 7.741074 11.809270 17.390050
2025-03-09 0.390077 1.173385 2.562833 4.863007 8.267983 12.848315 19.201872
2025-03-16 0.304713 1.049061 2.453153 4.862728 8.515918 13.512415 20.530152
2025-03-23 0.268867 1.021037 2.502248 5.106574 9.117668 14.663051 22.514198
2025-03-30 0.233413 0.983947 2.528875 5.311863 9.664817 15.745931 24.421911
2025-04-06 0.188282 0.910782 2.483824 5.402786 10.053775 16.631993 26.102095
2025-04-13 0.138134 0.803002 2.357157 5.346874 10.216332 17.203512 27.367476
2025-04-20 0.110348 0.749155 2.329522 5.454743 10.629211 18.133374 29.132534
2025-04-27 0.086885 0.697395 2.297940 5.550434 11.021876 19.037688 30.871593
2025-05-04 0.057161 0.599592 2.149644 5.423937 11.054994 19.420159 31.890902
2025-05-11 0.035568 0.512678 2.008547 5.295921 11.074848 19.777151 32.873460
2025-05-18 0.023860 0.461256 1.942676 5.302198 11.309158 20.449201 34.302779
2025-05-25 0.013478 0.397188 1.830847 5.208473 11.370699 20.861477 35.366161
2025-06-01 0.010653 0.389280 1.868870 5.413817 11.937931 22.038416 37.529315
2025-06-08 0.006053 0.349064 1.808188 5.413575 12.154131 22.687150 38.942833
2025-06-15 0.005033 0.351534 1.873196 5.675702 12.825194 24.034416 41.372244